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Iran
Flaunts Low-Level Enrichment to
Conceal
High-Powered
Weaponizaton Plant
DEBKAfile
Exclusive Report
April 14, 2006,
7:27 PM (GMT+02:00)
Hardline President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s claim of Iranian success in low-level
uranium enrichment was more bombastic than frank. Before
springing his disclosure at a sacred mausoleum in the
northern town of Mashhad on April 11,
DEBKAfile’s
Iranian sources disclose he paid a stealthy visit
to Neyshabour in Khorassan, 38 kms to the southeast.
There, he inspected
a project he omitted to mention in his Mashhad speech about
low-level enrichment, namely, a top-secret plant under
construction that is designed to run 155,000 centrifuges,
enough to enrich uranium for 3-5 nuclear bombs a year.
This is Project B,
or the hidden face of the enrichment plant open to
inspection at Natanz.
This plant, due for
completion next October, is scheduled to go on line at the
end of 2007. According to our intelligence sources,
running-in has begun at some sections of the Neyshabour
installation, which is located 600 km northeast of Tehran.
DEBKAfile’s
sources reveal too that the Neyshabour plant has been built
150 m deep under farmland covered with mixed vegetable crops
and dubbed Shahid Moradian, in the name of a war martyr as
obscure as its existence.
Already hard at
work at Iran’s most ambitious nuclear project are hundreds
of Iranian engineers, experts and assistants under the
instruction of foreign specialists in the technology of
centrifuge operation. Neyshabour is guarded day and night by
the special Revolutionary Guards Corps elite Ansar al-Mahdi
unit.
In Moscow Thursday,
April 13, US assistant secretary of state on arms control
Stephen Rademaker calculated that, with 54,000 centrifuges,
the Iranians could produce enough enriched uranium for a
bomb in 16 days. He was referring to the statement by Iran’s
deputy nuclear chief Mohammed Saeed, who said his government
planned to expand its enrichment program to 54,000
centrifuges from the 164 used in the small scale process
announced Tuesday.
According to this
reckoning, the Neshabour installation, when ready to go in
three years, will have three times the capacity of Natanz
and be able to turn out 9-15 bombs a year.
The clerical rulers
in Tehran have long suspected the Americans or Israelis
would eventually bomb Natanz out of existence. Therefore,
four years ago, they began constructing its mirror - albeit
on a far larger scale – in order to push ahead uninterrupted
with enrichment for weapons, regardless of objections from
the West, Israel and Arab neighbors.
Russian experts
completed the initial plans in 2003 and construction began
in early 2004. In late 2005, Bulgarian transport planes
delivered tens of thousands of centrifuges from Belarus and
Ukraine; they were transported directly to Neyshabour. In
January 2006, 23 Ukrainian engineers arrived to start
installing the equipment, joined in February by 46
Belarusian nuclear experts who are working in shifts to
prepare the 155,000 P-1 and P-2 centrifuges for operation.
This compares with
60,000 in Nathanz – of which 40,000 are accessible for
inspection while 20,000 are hidden in closed subterranean
chambers.
Neyshabour,
however, still needs to undergo experimental stages,
according to our Iranian sources. It is far from sure that
the Ukrainian and Belarusian experts will be able to put
together a well-synchronized centrifuge project that is
workable in the long term.
The Natanz project
was long slowed by serious malfunctions in running the
centrifuges purchased from Pakistan. They were only
partially overcome lately. Now, Tehran needs three years to
work in secret and in peace from outside interference and
international inspections to achieve its first N-bomb.
Tehran’s “success”
in enriching uranium, announced with fanfare last Tuesday,
actually happened, according to our sources, eight months
ago. Ahmadinejad timed his “disclosure” to achieve two
goals:
One, as a fait
accompli that would force the world to acknowledge that Iran
had joined the world’s nuclear club as its eighth member,
and two, to signal that the Islamic republic was close to
achieving a nuclear weapon and capable of retaliating
forcibly to international threats of penalties. Teheran’s
grandiose war games two weeks ago were staged for the same
purpose.
Russian and Chinese
sources have their own interpretation of Tehran’s motives.
They believe the Iranian president’s announcement was a
knee-jerk reaction to the approaching UN Security Council
deadline and the press reports of an approaching US military
strike against its nuclear facilities. According to their
theory, his bellicose stance was the prelude to a
climb-down; Tehran would now announce its national objective
has been accomplished and a line could be drawn on further
advances.
DEBKAfile’s
Iranian experts dismiss this theory as contrary to the
mind-set of the Islamic republic’s rulers. They are
convinced that Tehran sought the universal condemnation it
encountered; it proved to the Iranian public that in a
hostile world, Iran is fully justified in its go-it-alone
program for arming their country with a nuclear weapon.
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